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Fed Happy Talk Breaks Bad News Streak

Fed Happy Talk Breaks Bad News Streak

March 25, 2025

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Stocks notched a solid gain last week as upbeat comments from the Fed helped stocks snap their four-week losing streak.  

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 0.51 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index picked up 0.17 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average led, gaining 1.20 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, rose 0.75 percent.
1,2

A Solid Week

Stocks opened the week higher despite weaker-than-expected retail sales. On Tuesday, stocks pulled back on disappointing economic data and renewed Middle East tensions.3,4

Stocks roared higher Wednesday as investors looked forward to the Federal Reserve’s meeting. As widely expected, the Fed kept rates steady, but Fed Chair Powell’s comments buoyed investors’ spirits.5

Stocks dipped Thursday and opened lower Friday, but investors showed some confidence by pushing prices higher into Friday’s close.6

Should Investors Be Nervous About the Stock Market?
Capital Group – Article Summary

The article addresses growing concerns about the stock market amid strong recent performance and global uncertainties. Martin Romo, Capital Group’s Chief Investment Officer, describes the current environment as a “study in contrasts,” with U.S. economic strength on one hand and geopolitical risks and global economic slowdowns on the other.

Despite two consecutive years of over 20% returns for the S&P 500, Romo advises caution—not panic. He notes that today’s tech giants differ from the dot-com era, as they have strong earnings to support valuations. The article emphasizes that market pullbacks are normal and often followed by recoveries.

Key takeaways:

  1. Strong returns aren't unprecedented, but investors should be aware of elevated valuations.

  2. Market downturns are a normal part of long-term investing.

  3. High-valuation stocks are more sensitive to bad news, requiring careful analysis.

  4. Defensive investing—like focusing on dividend-paying, fundamentally sound companies—can help manage volatility.

Ultimately, the article encourages investors to stay balanced, remain diversified, and focus on long-term goals rather than short-term noise.

👉Click here to read the full article

The Fed Stays Positive

Amid all the market turbulence of late, the Fed was a steadying influence.

At his post-meeting press conference, Fed Chair Powell stressed that the economy remained strong and suggested that any impact from tariffs on inflation would be short-term.

But the primary reason investors cheered came down to this: most Fed officials still penciled in two interest rate cuts for this year. In late January, Powell said the central bank was in no hurry to adjust its policy stance, which unsettled the markets.7

This Week: Key Economic Data

Monday: PMI Composite—Services and Manufacturing.

Tuesday: Case-Shiller Home Price Index. Consumer Confidence. New Home Sales.

Wednesday: Durable Goods Orders. St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem speaks.

Thursday: Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Trade Balance in Goods. Weekly Jobless Claims. Retail & Wholesale Inventories. Pending Home Sales. Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin speaks.

Friday: Personal Consumption & Expenditures (PCE) Index. Consumer Sentiment.

Source: Investors Business Daily - Econoday economic calendar; March 21, 2025
The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings

Tuesday: McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC, MKC.V), GameStop Corp. (GME)

Wednesday: Cintas Corporation (CTAS), Paychex, Inc. (PAYX)

Thursday: Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU)

Source: Zacks, March 21, 2025. Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.

“There’s only one corner of the universe you can be certain of improving, and that’s your own self."

– Aldous Huxley

🍋Lemon Ricotta Olive Oil Cake with Honey & Thyme

Moist, tender, and not too sweet — this cake screams “spring is here!” with its bright citrus, floral honey, and herbal twist. It’s simple, elegant, and perfect with tea, coffee, or a drizzle of whipped cream.


⏱️ Time: 1 hour

🍽 Serves: 8


Ingredients:

  • 1 cup ricotta cheese (whole milk is best)

  • ¾ cup olive oil (fruity extra virgin works beautifully)

  • ¾ cup granulated sugar

  • ¼ cup honey

  • 3 large eggs

  • Zest of 2 lemons

  • ¼ cup fresh lemon juice

  • 1½ cups all-purpose flour

  • 2 tsp baking powder

  • ½ tsp salt

  • Optional: 1 tbsp chopped fresh thyme or lemon thyme


For topping (optional but recommended):

  • Powdered sugar, for dusting

  • Drizzle of honey

  • Extra lemon zest or thyme leaves

  • Whipped cream or Greek yogurt on the side


Instructions:

1.Preheat oven to 350°F (175°C).

Grease a 9-inch round cake pan and line the bottom with parchment paper.

2.Mix wet ingredients:

In a large bowl, whisk together ricotta, olive oil, sugar, honey, eggs, lemon zest, and lemon juice until smooth and creamy.

3.Add dry ingredients:

Sift in the flour, baking powder, and salt. Add thyme if using. Stir until just combined — don’t overmix.

4.Bake:

Pour batter into the pan and smooth the top. Bake for 40–45 minutes, or until a toothpick comes out clean and the top is lightly golden.

5.Cool & serve:

Let cool in the pan for 10 minutes, then transfer to a wire rack. Dust with powdered sugar, drizzle with honey, and garnish with lemon zest or thyme.

A Checklist of Common Errors When Preparing Your Tax Return

Properly preparing your tax return can be tricky, but here are some tips to help you avoid common errors:

  • Submitting your tax return online ensures greater accuracy than mailing it in. The e-file system can detect common errors and send your filing back to you for you to correct, saving you a ton of time in processing and delays.
  • Print or type your full name, taxpayer identification number (SSN), and address (including zip code) clearly.
  • Choose only one correct filing status.
  • Enter your income on the correct lines and include a Form 1040 to declare additional income and adjustments as needed.
  • Put brackets around negative amounts.
  • Keep a copy of the signed return and schedules for your records.

This information is not a substitute for individualized tax advice. Please discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional. 

Tip adapted from IRS8

What is Mindfulness?

You may have heard various definitions of mindfulness here and there or have your own ideas about what it is. Do you completely clear your mind? Is there more to it?

Interestingly, mindfulness is as simple as it sounds. It refers to being fully present in where and what you’re doing. You can practice mindfulness while driving, walking your dog, or playing with your children. It’s practicing being in the here and now and not letting your mind take you out of the present moment. These obsessive thoughts can lead to anxiety and stress. 

To practice mindfulness, take a simple activity, like drinking your cup of coffee, and think about every sensation you’re experiencing. It takes practice, but is worth it to improve your mental strength!


Tip adapted from Mindful9

Out of the 100 years in the 20th century, there is only one that reads the same upside down as it does right side up. What year is it?

Last week’s riddle: I twist, I turn, but I don’t have curves. You can twist me to fix me, but you may throw me into disarray in the process. Hours later, you may cast me away. What am I?
Answer: A Rubik's cube.

Morning mists over the Tarn
Millau, France

Footnotes and Sources

1. The Wall Street Journal, March 21, 2025

2. Investing.com, March 21, 2025

3. The Wall Street Journal, March 17, 2025

4. CNBC.com, March 18, 2025

5. The Wall Street Journal, March 19, 2025

6. The Wall Street Journal, March 21, 2025

7. CNBC.com, March 18, 2025

8. IRS.gov, May 16, 2024

9. Mindful, October 3, 2024