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McKnight Weekly Market Insights: Markets Take a Breather After Mixed Week

McKnight Weekly Market Insights: Markets Take a Breather After Mixed Week

March 11, 2024


Over the past two years, McKnight’s marketing efforts have benefited greatly from our Marketing Associate, Jaiver Hernandez.

In December, Javier commissioned as Second Lieutenant in the United States Military.  Javier’s last day with McKnight was March 7th.

Our hearts are full of pride for Javier’s achievements and brimming with confidence that he will bring his best to this next great phase of his life.

 

We bless Javier, his family and his new Military Associates.  We ask God’s Providence and protection for he and those with whom he will serve. 

πŸŽ“ Don't miss our Medicare educational event with Hillary Broome on April 4th, 5:30 p.m., at MMC. RSVP now to gain insights, understand plans, get personalized advice, and secure your spot! Limited seats are available.

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🌟 Did you know? πŸŒŸ

 

Here's a heart-healthy tidbit for you: laughter and positive social interactions aren't just good for the soul—they're great for your heart too! πŸ’– Research suggests that embracing moments of joy and fostering strong social connections can actually promote better cardiovascular health. πŸ˜Š So, let's keep laughing, cherishing those uplifting moments, and nurturing our relationships for a happier, healthier heart! πŸ’“

Click here to learn more about the link between emotional well-being and heart health. #HeartHealth #LaughterIsTheBestMedicine #StayConnected

Better Early than Never

 

Elevated cash yields and uncertain timing of Fed cuts have left many investors hesitant to extend duration. However, we believe that investing in a 10-Year US Treasury note has a low cost to being early. Historically, the 12-month forward return for the 10-year US Treasury note has been highest three months before the first cut in an easing cycle. Timing interest rate movements is challenging, but history suggests duration may best be extended earlier rather than later.

Article: Better Early than Never (GSAM.com)

Stocks were down for the week as investors appeared to take some profits and traders parsed Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Congressional testimony.

Markets Wobble 

Stocks had a rough start to the week, with the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq each off more than one percent on Tuesday alone. Mega-cap tech stocks were under pressure as investors appeared to take some profits.

Markets clawed back much of their losses on Wednesday and Thursday, with the Fed Chair’s upbeat comments to the Senate Banking Committee boosting stocks. Chair Powell said that once the Fed was confident inflation was tracking “sustainably at 2%,” the Fed would consider cutting short-term interest rates. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rallied, with the S&P hitting a record close.1,2,3

Friday's employment news threw some uncertainty into the mix. The economy added 275,000 jobs in February—exceeding the 198,000 expected—but wage growth slowed, and jobless claims edged up. Some investors saw that as a negative, while others viewed it as a “Goldilocks” moment—an economy that’s not too hot or cold. Stocks initially rallied on the news, but profit-takers appeared to arrive as the day progressed.4,5

Source: YCharts.com, March 9, 2024. Weekly performance is measured from Monday, March 4, to Friday, March 8.
ROC 5 = the rate of change in the index for the previous 5 trading days.
TR = total return for the index, which includes any dividends as well as any other cash distributions during the period.
Treasury note yield is expressed in basis points.

"Expect the best. Prepare for the worst. Capitalize on what comes."

– Zig Ziglar

Do You Know the Difference Between Taxable and Nontaxable Income?

All income you receive is taxable unless the rules explicitly state it isn’t. According to the IRS, taxable income includes earned income like wages and any income earned by bartering or through the exchange of property or services. Rental income is taxable, as are other unearned incomes like interest and dividends or Social Security.

Some income is only taxable if certain conditions are met. For example, life insurance proceeds are usually not taxable to the beneficiary unless you redeem a life insurance policy for cash. Any amount you receive above the cost of the policy is then taxable. State and local income tax refunds may be taxable and should be reported on your federal taxes.

Some forms of income are usually not taxable, such as the following:

  • Gifts and inheritances
  • Child support payments
  • Welfare benefits
  • Damage awards for physical injury or sickness
  • Cash rebates from a dealer or manufacturer for an item you buy
  • Reimbursements for qualified adoption expenses


Several factors will affect the cost and availability of life insurance, including age, health, and the type and amount of insurance purchased. Life insurance policies have expenses, including mortality and other charges. If a policy is surrendered prematurely, the policyholder may also pay surrender charges and have income tax implications. You should consider determining whether you are insurable before implementing a strategy involving life insurance. Any guarantees associated with a policy are dependent on the ability of the issuing insurance company to continue making claim payments.

*This article is for informational purposes only and does not replace real-life advice, so consult your tax, legal, and accounting professionals before modifying your tax strategy.

Tip adapted from IRS.gov8

Choose to Make Your Plate “MyPlate”

The food pyramid had many flaws, including generalized recommended daily servings and poorly defined portion sizes. So, the U.S. Department of Agriculture implemented a user-friendly redesign, transforming the pyramid into a plate. 

The concept behind the MyPlate design was both revolutionary and seemingly obvious. After all, we eat off a plate, not a pyramid. Portions are easier to see. Make half the plate of fruits and vegetables; the other half comprises grains and protein. A serving of dairy (or non-dairy alternative) goes on the side.

Take advantage of this method the next time you sit down for a meal and see what adjustments you can make to make your plate even healthier.

Tip adapted from myplate.gov9

The 22nd and 24th U.S. presidents had the same parents– yet the 22nd and 24th U.S. presidents were not siblings. Why?

  

Last week’s riddle: You can’t outrun it or hide from it. You only notice it when there is light, but it shows only darkness. What is it? Answer: Your shadow.

Forbidden City, Beijing, China

Footnotes and Sources

 

1. The Wall Street Journal, March 8, 2024

2. MarketWatch, March 6, 2024

3. CNBC, March 7, 2024

4. CNBC, March 8, 2024

5. The Wall Street Journal, March 8, 2024

6. The Wall Street Journal, March 7, 2024

7. Bureau of Labor Statistics, March 7, 2024

8. IRS.gov, November 02, 2023 

9. MyPlate.gov, December 18, 2023

Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost.

The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision without notice.

The market indexes discussed are unmanaged, and generally, considered representative of their respective markets. Index performance is not indicative of the past performance of a particular investment. Indexes do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses. Individuals cannot directly invest in unmanaged indexes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of large-capitalization companies on the U.S. stock market. Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the NASDAQ stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of technology and growth companies. The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) and serves as a benchmark of the performance of major international equity markets, as represented by 21 major MSCI indexes from Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia. The S&P 500 Composite Index is an unmanaged group of securities that are considered to be representative of the stock market in general.

U.S. Treasury Notes are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest. However, if you sell a Treasury Note prior to maturity, it may be worth more or less than the original price paid. Fixed income investments are subject to various risks including changes in interest rates, credit quality, inflation risk, market valuations, prepayments, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors.

International investments carry additional risks, which include differences in financial reporting standards, currency exchange rates, political risks unique to a specific country, foreign taxes and regulations, and the potential for illiquid markets. These factors may result in greater share price volatility.

Please consult your financial professional for additional information.

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Copyright 2024 FMG Suite.

Edwin McKnight

contactus@mcknightadvisory.com

615-895-8574

McKnight Advisory Group, Inc.
President, Investment Advisor Representative

http://www.mcknightadvisory.com

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